Have Yourself A Very Merry Christmas

Wishing all my friends and family a wonderful holiday season, and all the good stuff for 2020 and the new decade.

We live in difficult times, but there is still love and the wonder, for all its faults, of human endeavour.

Here is my beautiful daughter, Louisa, live at the Pheasantry in London earlier this month. 

Happy Christmas!

 

AND NOTHING ABOUT IT

Once, in youth, a girl in the play we were putting on,
catching me alone after rehearsal, fixed me with a grave, determined look
and pushed me against the studio-black wall. Taller than me,
and infinitely classier – literally from a Family – she pinned me there somehow,
all hair and height and lineage, and kissed me.

Not just the fact that I had a girlfriend then, and still have,
the mother of my children, the mother of the teen I’m sitting next to now on the plane
who’s flicking disdainfully through my magazine – politics!
but the sheer strangeness of it, the utter improbable incongruity of that class and height divide,

froze me into ungrateful rigidity, an inability even to speak. But I guess, what was said
in that silence, was I just don’t know what to do with this kiss.

The play went on and nothing about it was ever said, and it became
one of those glancing memories, for me, and I’m sure much more for her,
one of those moments which can lie dormant for decades only to come to you unbidden in a stab of shame. A kiss blast gasp from the past, catching your breath like a sudden shock of cold.

There she is now, in the magazine, face grave as ever, above her piece extolling the virtues of energetic middle-age.
See that woman? I suddenly say to my teen. She kissed me once. Pushed me
against a wall and kissed me.
Nineteen Eighty Something, I say.

He’s frozen, and his silence says, I guess, I just don’t know what to do with that.

The plane lands and we disembark and nothing more about it is said.
Her hair is still girlishly long.
Amongst other things she got involved in politics.
She’s a baroness now. A peer of the realm.

What Would A Second Referendum Prove Anyway?

On a momentous day in which hundreds of thousands marched (again) for a People’s Vote, and Boris Johnson tried and failed to railroad Parliament into accepting a deal he’d only shown them two days previously, the possibility of a People’s Vote is once again being discussed.
 
Soon after the chaos in Parliament, Tobias Ellwood went on the BBC to decry the value of a 2nd Referendum.
 
He used a well-worn argument, which went unchallenged.
 
You’ll have heard it many times, and not just on the telly, but probably also down the pub.
 
It comes in several variants, which all boil down to the “What Would It Prove Anyway?” argument.
 
Typically it goes like this:
 
“Say there was a 2nd vote, and it went marginally for Remain – what would that prove? It wouldn’t settle anything. Imagine it’s 52/48 for Remain. That’s the same as Leave got first time round. What would you do then? Have another vote? Best of three? Four? Five? It would be ridiculous. We’ve had a vote, the people have spoken, let’s get on with it.”
 
As a pub-style argument, it works pretty well, doesn’t it?
 
Except there’s a technical term for it: it’s bollocks.
 
It’s bollocks because a 2nd Referendum which went 52/48 to Remain would either be significant, or it would not.
 
If somebody argues that it 52/48 is not significant, then they must admit that the first referendum was similarly insignificant, and therefore is not the basis for major constitutional change. (Correct, of course.)
 
If, on the other hand, 52/48 IS deemed significant, then the fact of a vote now going that way for Remain would be evidence that there is no longer any basis for major constitutional change.
 
Either way, such a vote would spell the end of Brexit.
 
Whichever way you cut it, a 52/48 split is no basis for major constitutional change.
Mocking the notion of a wafer thin majority for Remain in a 2nd Referendum only underlines that point.
 
Clever though it at first seems, Tobias Ellwood’s argument – and the argument of your mate down the pub – in fact is self-defeating. Because if a close-run second referendum can’t settle Brexit, then a close-run first referendum can’t either.
 
In mocking close referendum results, all they prove is that we should never have gone down this deeply unpleasant rabbit hole in the first place.
 
[The video here is Ellwood making the same argument earlier in the year.]